Amman International Stadium · Analysis updated 14:34 UTC
Al Faisaly vs Al Wihdat Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Al Faisaly and 1.36 for Al Wihdat, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Al Faisaly the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Faisaly win
55.3% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.36
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Faisaly home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Wihdat away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Faisaly to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 21% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.14 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.36 for Al Wihdat, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–06.9%
- 3–16.7%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
Al Faisaly
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ramtha · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nahda · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Buqa'a · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rayyan SC · 3-4 (L)
Al Wihdat
- 2026-05-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Hussein · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahli · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazeera · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Faisaly | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Hussein | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Wihdat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Ramtha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Faisaly win, at 55.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.