· Analysis updated 05:43 UTC
Al Faisaly vs Doqarah Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.29 expected goals for Al Faisaly and 0.45 for Doqarah, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Al Faisaly the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Faisaly win
79.1% probability
Expected goals
2.29 – 0.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Faisaly home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Faisaly to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 15% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.29 goals for Al Faisaly and 0.45 for Doqarah, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 33%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
21%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–016.9%
- 1–014.7%
- 3–012.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 4–07.4%
Recent form
Al Faisaly
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ramtha · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nahda · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Buqa'a · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rayyan SC · 3-4 (L)
Doqarah
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Faisaly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Jazeera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 3 | Al Wihdat | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Al Buqa'a | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Al Ramtha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Salt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Hussein | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Al Arabi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Doqarah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Shabab Al Ordon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Faisaly win, at 79.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.