Fujairah Club Stadium · Analysis updated 10:56 UTC
Al Fujairah SC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.43 expected goals for Al Fujairah SC and 1.23 for Al Jazira Al Hamra, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Al Fujairah SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Fujairah SC win
63.8% probability
Expected goals
2.43 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Fujairah SC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Jazira Al Hamra away threat
Scored in 0 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–06.3%
Recent form
Al Fujairah SC
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Palm City · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Forte Virtus · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Dibba Al Hisn · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-29T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazira Al Hamra · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Gulf United · 4-2 (W)
Al Jazira Al Hamra
- 2026-09-23T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Forte Virtus · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Gulf United · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T14:55:00.000Z · H vs Dubai City · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Urooba · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Bataeh · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T15:15:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 6-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2026-05-29T14:15:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 1-3 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2026-02-07T13:15:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 1-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2025-02-27T13:25:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 2-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2024-10-27T12:50:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 2-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2024-03-24T18:00:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 4-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2023-11-06T12:45:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 0-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2023-04-02T18:00:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 3-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2022-11-20T12:40:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 0-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
- 2022-04-10T18:00:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 2-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra (Division 1)
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Emirates Club | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Forte Virtus | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Hamriyah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Al Thaid | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Urooba | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah SC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Palm City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Dibba Al Hisn | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Bataeh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Gulf United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Ittifaq | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Dubai City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Fujairah SC win, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.