· Analysis updated 09:39 UTC
Al Fujairah SC vs Al Urooba Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Al Fujairah SC and 1.70 for Al Urooba, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Al Urooba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.3% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Fujairah SC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Urooba away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–17.5%
- 0–26.5%
Recent form
Al Fujairah SC
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Palm City · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Forte Virtus · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Dibba Al Hisn · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-29T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazira Al Hamra · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Gulf United · 4-2 (W)
Al Urooba
- 2026-10-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Arabi · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-28T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Ittifaq · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Dubai City · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Emirates Club · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al Arabi · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-19T13:50:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 0-1 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2025-11-30T12:35:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 0-2 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2024-04-05T18:00:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 0-1 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2023-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 1-2 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2023-02-12T13:20:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 0-0 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2022-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 2-1 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2018-02-10T13:15:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 1-0 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2017-11-04T12:50:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 1-1 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2017-03-03T13:30:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 2-1 Al Urooba (Division 1)
- 2016-11-26T12:35:00.000Z · Al Fujairah SC 4-2 Al Urooba (Division 1)
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Emirates Club | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Forte Virtus | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Hamriyah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Al Thaid | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Urooba | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah SC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Palm City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Dibba Al Hisn | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Bataeh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Gulf United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Ittifaq | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Dubai City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.