United-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · Round of 3214:30

1 – 1

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Fujairah Club Stadium · Analysis updated 22:40 UTC

Al Fujairah SC vs Dibba Al Hisn Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Al Fujairah SC and 1.18 for Dibba Al Hisn, a combined total of 3.26. That distribution gives Al Fujairah SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Al Fujairah SC win

57.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Al Fujairah SC home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Dibba Al Hisn away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Al Fujairah SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.08 goals for Al Fujairah SC and 1.18 for Dibba Al Hisn, a combined 3.26 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Al Fujairah SC win58%
Draw21%
Dibba Al Hisn win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 3–16.8%

Recent form

Al Fujairah SC

  • 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Palm City · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Forte Virtus · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Dibba Al Hisn · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-29T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazira Al Hamra · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-23T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Gulf United · 4-2 (W)

Dibba Al Hisn

  • 2026-10-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Fujairah SC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-29T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Palm City · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Fujairah SC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T14:55:00.000Z · H vs Palm City · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T15:05:00.000Z · A vs Forte Virtus · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Presidents Cup table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Urooba330049
2Al Fujairah SC321057
3Al Arabi320116
4Palm City211024
5Ittifaq210113
6Al Thaid2101-13
7Al Jazira Al Hamra2101-23
8Dibba Al Hisn202002
9Emirates Club1001-10
10Al Hamriyah1001-10
11Dubai City1001-10
12Forte Virtus1001-10
13Gulf United1001-20
14Dibba Al-Fujairah1001-20
15Al Bataeh1001-20

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Al Fujairah SC win, at 57.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.