Al Hilal Stadium · Analysis updated 11:12 UTC
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Jamus Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Al Hilal Omdurman and 0.80 for Jamus, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Al Hilal Omdurman the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Hilal Omdurman win
57.1% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Hilal Omdurman to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 25% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Al Hilal Omdurman and 0.80 for Jamus, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 44%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 57% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 38/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.4%
- 2–011.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.9%
Recent form
Al Hilal Omdurman
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sidama Bunna · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Kigali · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aigle Noir · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Aigle Noir · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-07T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jamus · 2-1 (W)
Jamus
- 2026-08-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hilal Omdurman · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Rayon Sports · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogadishu City · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Simba · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Singida Black Stars · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Hilal Omdurman win, at 57.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.