· Analysis updated 14:36 UTC
Al Hussein vs Al Buqa'a Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Al Hussein and 1.23 for Al Buqa'a, a combined total of 2.44. That distribution gives Al Buqa'a the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.3% probability
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Hussein home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Buqa'a away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Buqa'a to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 36% / 27% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.21 goals for Al Hussein and 1.23 for Al Buqa'a, a combined 2.44 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.0%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.0%
Recent form
Al Hussein
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Shabab Al Ordon · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs East Bengal II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazeera · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 1-2 (L)
Al Buqa'a
- 2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Salt · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Shabab Al Ordon · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Faisaly · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Hussein · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Doqarah · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Faisaly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Jazeera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 3 | Al Wihdat | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Al Buqa'a | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Al Ramtha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Salt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Hussein | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Al Arabi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Doqarah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Shabab Al Ordon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.