Jordan · Cup · Semi-finals17:30

3 – 1

Tuesday, 12 May 2026

· Analysis updated 15:13 UTC

Al Hussein vs Al Wihdat Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.35 expected goals for Al Hussein and 2.10 for Al Wihdat, a combined total of 5.45. That distribution gives Al Hussein the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Al Hussein win

62.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.35 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Al Hussein home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Al Wihdat away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Al Hussein to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 16% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.35 goals for Al Hussein and 2.10 for Al Wihdat, a combined 5.45 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Al Hussein win62%
Draw16%
Al Wihdat win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals79%
Both teams to score84%

Correct score

  • 3–25.9%
  • 3–15.7%
  • 2–25.3%
  • 2–15.1%
  • 4–25.0%

Recent form

Al Hussein

  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Shabab Al Ordon · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs East Bengal II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazeera · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 1-2 (L)

Al Wihdat

  • 2026-05-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Hussein · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahli · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazeera · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Al Hussein win, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.