World · AFC Champions League Two · Group stage — 116:00

2 – 2

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Amman International Stadium · Referee A. Alaeddin · Analysis updated 02:37 UTC

Al Hussein vs East Bengal II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Al Hussein and 1.87 for East Bengal II, a combined total of 3.54. That distribution gives East Bengal II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.87

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Al Hussein home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • East Bengal II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates East Bengal II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 35% / 22% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.67 goals for Al Hussein and 1.87 for East Bengal II, a combined 3.54 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Al Hussein win35%
Draw22%
East Bengal II win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 1–19.1%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 0–15.4%

Recent form

Al Hussein

  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Shabab Al Ordon · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs East Bengal II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazeera · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 1-2 (L)

East Bengal II

  • 2026-10-23T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter Kashi · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Churchill Brothers · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-13T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Al Shorta · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-08T12:45:00.000Z · A vs ATK Mohun Bagan · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-05T11:30:00.000Z · H vs NorthEast United · 7-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

AFC Champions League Two table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Wahda FC220026
2Al Kuwait210113
3Nasaf2011-11
4Khalidiya2011-21
1Al-Jazira211014
2Arkadag210103
3Muharraq210113
4Gol Gohar2011-21
1Al Taawon211014
2Al-Rayyan SC210103
3Al Faisaly210113
4Al-Nahda2011-21
1Al Shorta220026
2Al Hussein211034
3East Bengal2011-11
4Al Seeb2002-40
1Persib Bandung220026
2Melbourne Victory211034
3Viettel2011-11
4FC Seoul2002-40
1Adelaide United220046
2Home United211014
3BG Pathum United2011-11
4Wofoo Tai Po2002-40
1Machida Zelvia220036
2Shanghai Shenhua211014
3Svay Rieng2011-21
4Tampines Rovers2002-20
1Phnom Penh Crown220026
2Kitchee202002
3Kuching FA2011-11
4Gangwon FC2011-11

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.