Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium · Analysis updated 01:02 UTC
Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Sharjah FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Al-Ittihad Kalba and 2.28 for Sharjah FC, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Sharjah FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Sharjah FC win
63.2% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 2.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sharjah FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sharjah FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 18% / 19% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Al-Ittihad Kalba and 2.28 for Sharjah FC, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–37.4%
Recent form
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Sharjah FC
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Ajman · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Wahda FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Dubai United · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-30T13:55:00.000Z · A vs Hatta SC · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Al-Wasl FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Ain | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Wahda FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sharjah FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Ajman | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Nasr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Dubai United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Al-Dhafra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | Khorfakkan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 13 | Hatta SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Baniyas SC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sharjah FC win, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.