Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium · Referee M. Al Shehri · Analysis updated 08:51 UTC
Al Jabalain vs Al Wehda Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Al Jabalain and 1.15 for Al Wehda Club, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives Al Wehda Club the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.5% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Jabalain home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Wehda Club away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.4%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–011.6%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–27.7%
Recent form
Al Jabalain
- 2026-09-20T15:55:00.000Z · H vs Al Orubah · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Hajer · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T16:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Wehda Club · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-01T17:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Najma · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-27T16:20:00.000Z · H vs Al Jeel · 1-0 (W)
Al Wehda Club
- 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Taee · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:55:00.000Z · A vs Al Jandal · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-14T16:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Okhdood · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-07T16:05:00.000Z · A vs Al Jabalain · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-02T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Damac · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-07T16:05:00.000Z · Al Jabalain 0-0 Al Wehda Club (Division 1)
- 2026-05-14T16:35:00.000Z · Al Jabalain 1-0 Al Wehda Club (Division 1)
- 2026-01-16T12:45:00.000Z · Al Jabalain 2-0 Al Wehda Club (Division 1)
- 2022-01-31T12:50:00.000Z · Al Jabalain 0-0 Al Wehda Club (Division 1)
- 2021-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · Al Jabalain 3-1 Al Wehda Club (Division 1)
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Al Jabalain | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Al Zulfi | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Al Najma | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Wehda Club | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Al-Adalah | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Damac | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Anwar | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Saqer | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Al-Raed | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Al Taee | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Al Orubah | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Jeddah Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Okhdood | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Hajer | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Bukayriyah | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.