Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 · Matchweek 615:55
Al JandalDDLWL

2 – 2

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Al-Jouf University Stadium · Referee K. Al Ghamdi · Analysis updated 06:12 UTC

Al Jandal vs Al Wehda Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Al Jandal and 1.81 for Al Wehda Club, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Al Wehda Club the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Al Wehda Club win

46.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.81

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Al Jandal home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Al Wehda Club away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Al Wehda Club to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 31% / 23% / 46% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.46 goals for Al Jandal and 1.81 for Al Wehda Club, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Al Jandal win31%
Draw23%
Al Wehda Club win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–110.0%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 0–16.9%
  • 2–26.6%

Recent form

Al Jandal

  • 2026-09-20T15:55:00.000Z · H vs Al Wehda Club · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Al-Adalah · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T16:10:00.000Z · H vs Al Bukayriyah · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-31T17:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Taee · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-27T17:50:00.000Z · H vs Al Saqer · 1-1 (D)

Al Wehda Club

  • 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Taee · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T15:55:00.000Z · A vs Al Jandal · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-14T16:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Okhdood · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-07T16:05:00.000Z · A vs Al Jabalain · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-02T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Damac · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 1 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ula76101319
2Al Zulfi8350814
3Al Jabalain7331212
4Damac8332112
5Al Wehda Club7250711
6Al Najma7241310
7Al Anwar7241210
8Al Saqer8242110
9Al-Raed8314-410
10Al Taee8314-810
11Al-Adalah723209
12Jeddah Club7223-28
13Al Orubah614107
14Al Okhdood7142-47
15Al Jandal713306
16Hajer6132-36
17Al Jeel6024-72
18Al Bukayriyah7025-92

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Al Wehda Club win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.