· Analysis updated 05:39 UTC
Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Dibba Al-Fujairah Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for Al Jazira Al Hamra and 1.92 for Dibba Al-Fujairah, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Dibba Al-Fujairah the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dibba Al-Fujairah win
54.8% probability
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Jazira Al Hamra home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dibba Al-Fujairah away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–36.3%
Recent form
Al Jazira Al Hamra
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Thaid · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-09T13:10:00.000Z · H vs Dibba Al-Fujairah · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-29T14:35:00.000Z · A vs Al Fujairah SC · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Forte Virtus · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Gulf United · 0-2 (L)
Dibba Al-Fujairah
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Ittifaq · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al Thaid · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:05:00.000Z · H vs Gulf United · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-21T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Dubai City · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-16T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ain · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2025-05-30T14:15:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-3 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Division 1)
- 2025-02-02T13:15:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-4 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Division 1)
- 2024-04-14T13:50:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-4 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Division 1)
- 2023-12-03T12:35:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-1 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Presidents Cup)
- 2023-11-24T12:40:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-2 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Division 1)
- 2022-04-03T18:00:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-0 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Division 1)
- 2021-12-18T12:40:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-6 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Division 1)
- 2021-09-10T13:35:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-7 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Presidents Cup)
- 2014-02-21T13:25:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-3 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Division 1)
- 2013-11-16T12:45:00.000Z · Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-4 Dibba Al-Fujairah (Division 1)
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Emirates Club | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Forte Virtus | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Hamriyah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Al Thaid | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Urooba | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah SC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Palm City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Dibba Al Hisn | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Bataeh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Gulf United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Ittifaq | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Dubai City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dibba Al-Fujairah win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.