United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · Matchweek 114:10

2 – 2

Monday, 17 August 2026

Hatta U23LWLLD

· Analysis updated 15:31 UTC

Al Jazira U23 vs Hatta U23 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.66 expected goals for Al Jazira U23 and 1.29 for Hatta U23, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Al Jazira U23 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Al Jazira U23 win

46.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.29

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Al Jazira U23 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Al Jazira U23 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.66 goals for Al Jazira U23 and 1.29 for Hatta U23, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Al Jazira U23 win46%
Draw24%
Hatta U23 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–27.2%

Recent form

Al Jazira U23

  • 2026-08-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Sharjah U23 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-17T14:10:00.000Z · H vs Hatta U23 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-17T14:10:00.000Z · A vs Bani Yas U23 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-12T14:10:00.000Z · A vs Al Wasl U23 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-06T14:05:00.000Z · H vs Ajman U23 · 5-2 (W)

Hatta U23

  • 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ajman U23 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-17T14:10:00.000Z · A vs Al Jazira U23 · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Pro League U23 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain U2355001115
2Ajman U235410413
3Al Sharjah U235320711
4Al Wahda U235311310
5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U235311210
6Ittihad Kalba U23521207
7Al Jazira U23513106
8United FC U235203-26
9Al Wasl U235122-15
10Hatta U235113-14
11Al Dhafra U235113-54
12Khorfakkan U235113-54
13Al Nasr U235104-53
14Bani Yas U235005-80

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Al Jazira U23 win, at 46.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.