Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Al Khaleej Saihat and 1.16 for Al-Hazm, a combined total of 2.37. That distribution gives Al Khaleej Saihat the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.16

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Al Khaleej Saihat home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al-Hazm away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Al Khaleej Saihat win37%

Draw28%

Al-Hazm win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

1–113.1%
1–011.4%
0–110.9%
0–09.4%
2–17.9%

Recent form

Al Khaleej Saihat

2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Fateh · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-15T14:50:00.000Z · H vs Al-Fayha · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-10T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al-Ettifaq · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nassr · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-07T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Riyadh · 0-0 (D)

Al-Hazm

2026-10-22T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Al-Fayha · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-15T15:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Fateh · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-10T13:50:00.000Z · H vs NEOM · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Ahli Jeddah · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-03-06T19:00:00.000Z · Al Khaleej Saihat 2-1 Al-Hazm (Pro League)
2025-11-06T14:55:00.000Z · Al Khaleej Saihat 4-1 Al-Hazm (Pro League)
2024-02-24T17:00:00.000Z · Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1 Al-Hazm (Pro League)
2023-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1 Al-Hazm (Pro League)
2021-02-22T13:00:00.000Z · Al Khaleej Saihat 0-1 Al-Hazm (Division 1)
2020-11-04T14:30:00.000Z · Al Khaleej Saihat 2-4 Al-Hazm (Division 1)
2018-02-28T12:35:00.000Z · Al Khaleej Saihat 2-1 Al-Hazm (Division 1)
2017-11-01T12:25:00.000Z · Al Khaleej Saihat 2-2 Al-Hazm (Division 1)

Pro League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	10	9	0	1	21	27
2	Al-Nassr	10	8	1	1	15	25
3	Al-Qadisiyah FC	11	8	1	2	14	25
4	Al-Ittihad FC	10	7	2	1	10	23
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	10	7	0	3	14	21
6	NEOM	11	6	1	4	7	19
7	Al-Ettifaq	11	5	3	3	1	18
8	Al Diriyah	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	Al Kholood	10	3	3	4	-7	12
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	11	2	6	3	-7	12
11	Al Riyadh	10	3	3	4	-8	12
12	Al Shabab	10	2	5	3	0	11
13	Al-Hazm	11	2	4	5	-4	10
14	Al-Fayha	11	1	5	5	-7	8
15	Al-Faisaly FC	10	1	4	5	-9	7
16	Al-Fateh	11	1	3	7	-13	6
17	Al Taawon	11	0	4	7	-14	4
18	Abha	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.