· Analysis updated 15:53 UTC
Al-Nahda vs Al Seeb Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Al-Nahda and 1.75 for Al Seeb, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Al Seeb the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Seeb win
49.1% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al-Nahda home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Seeb away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–27.6%
- 2–16.8%
Recent form
Al-Nahda
- 2026-09-25T14:35:00.000Z · A vs Ibri · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-21T13:35:00.000Z · H vs Saham · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Taawon · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-10T14:55:00.000Z · H vs Al Seeb · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:10:00.000Z · A vs Al-Shabab · 3-2 (W)
Al Seeb
- 2026-09-24T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Sohar · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Ibri · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Shorta · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-10T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al-Nahda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-10T14:55:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 1-1 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2026-05-14T16:35:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 0-4 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2026-01-29T13:20:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 2-0 Al Seeb (Sultan Cup)
- 2026-01-24T15:30:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 1-2 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2026-01-20T16:15:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 0-1 Al Seeb (Sultan Cup)
- 2025-04-16T16:10:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 0-2 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2024-12-15T14:05:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 1-3 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2024-05-19T15:15:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 1-2 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2024-03-02T14:45:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 0-1 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2023-12-07T14:30:00.000Z · Al-Nahda 1-3 Al Seeb (Super Cup)
Professional League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Seeb win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.