AL Nasr SC vs Haras El Hodood Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.96 expected goals for AL Nasr SC and 0.98 for Haras El Hodood, a combined total of 1.94. That distribution gives Haras El Hodood the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.96 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

AL Nasr SC home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Haras El Hodood away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Haras El Hodood to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 34% / 31% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.96 goals for AL Nasr SC and 0.98 for Haras El Hodood, a combined 1.94 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

AL Nasr SC win34%

Draw31%

Haras El Hodood win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals58%

Over 2.5 goals31%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score39%

Correct score

0–014.3%
0–114.0%
1–013.8%
1–113.5%
0–26.9%

Recent form

AL Nasr SC

2026-10-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs El Mansura · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Proxy · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs La Viena FC · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs El Seka El Hadid · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Tanta SC · 0-1 (L)

Haras El Hodood

2026-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Proxy · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs La Viena FC · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs El Seka El Hadid · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tanta SC · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Dayrout · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Masar	10	7	1	2	11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	5	5	0	8	20
3	Itesalat	10	6	1	3	7	19
4	Pharco	10	6	1	3	4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	5	3	2	8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	5	3	2	5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	4	5	1	6	17
8	Tersana	10	4	5	1	5	17
9	El Mansura	10	5	2	3	2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	4	3	3	2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	3	3	4	0	12
12	Team	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	2	4	4	1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	2	4	4	-4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	2	4	4	-4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	2	4	4	-6	10
17	Proxy	10	2	2	6	-7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	1	4	5	-6	7
19	Dayrout	10	1	3	6	-16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	0	3	7	-11	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 31%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.