· Analysis updated 10:10 UTC
Al Ramtha vs Al Ahli Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Al Ramtha and 1.00 for Al Ahli, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Al Ramtha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
71.4% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Ramtha home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Ahli away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.0%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–010.0%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–08.5%
Recent form
Al Ramtha
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hussein · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hussein · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-07T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 2-3 (L)
Al Ahli
- 2026-10-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sama · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Wihdat · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-24T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Faisaly · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sama Al Sarhan · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-03T16:30:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 1-1 Al Ahli (League)
- 2026-02-19T18:45:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 2-2 Al Ahli (League)
- 2025-12-22T13:00:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 1-0 Al Ahli (Cup)
- 2025-11-21T14:00:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 0-2 Al Ahli (Shield Cup)
- 2025-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 2-1 Al Ahli (League)
- 2025-04-27T16:00:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 1-2 Al Ahli (League)
- 2024-12-20T15:00:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 1-2 Al Ahli (Cup)
- 2024-11-30T16:45:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 1-0 Al Ahli (League)
- 2024-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 1-1 Al Ahli (Shield Cup)
- 2024-05-19T16:00:00.000Z · Al Ramtha 0-1 Al Ahli (League)
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Faisaly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Jazeera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 3 | Al Wihdat | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Al Buqa'a | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Al Ramtha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Salt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Hussein | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Al Arabi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Doqarah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Shabab Al Ordon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.