· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Al Rayyan SC B vs Al Mesaimeer Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Al Rayyan SC B and 1.68 for Al Mesaimeer, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives Al Mesaimeer the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Al Mesaimeer win
62.2% probability
Expected goals
0.65 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Rayyan SC B home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Mesaimeer to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 14% / 24% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.65 goals for Al Rayyan SC B and 1.68 for Al Mesaimeer, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–116.4%
- 0–213.7%
- 1–110.6%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–28.9%
Recent form
Al Rayyan SC B
- 2026-09-06T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Markhiya · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-31T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Muaither SC · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Waab · 0-1 (L)
- 2017-04-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs El Jaish SC B · 3-2 (W)
- 2017-03-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Wakrah B · 0-3 (L)
Al Mesaimeer
- 2026-10-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Gharafa · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-22T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Al Waab · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Kharaitiyat · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T14:15:00.000Z · H vs UMM Salal · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-24T14:15:00.000Z · H vs Muaither SC · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Markhiya | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Al Kharaitiyat | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Al Mesaimeer | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Bidda SC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Al Waab | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | UMM Salal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Muaither SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Al-Khor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Qatar U23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Al Shamal II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 11 | Al-Gharafa B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 12 | Al Rayyan SC B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Mesaimeer win, at 62.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.