Al-Rayyan SC vs Muaither SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Al-Rayyan SC and 2.10 for Muaither SC, a combined total of 4.48. That distribution gives Al-Rayyan SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Al-Rayyan SC win

45.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.38 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Al-Rayyan SC home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Muaither SC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al-Rayyan SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 19% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for Al-Rayyan SC and 2.10 for Muaither SC, a combined 4.48 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Al-Rayyan SC win45%

Draw19%

Muaither SC win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals82%

Over 3.5 goals65%

Both teams to score80%

Correct score

2–27.1%
2–16.7%
1–26.0%
1–15.7%
3–25.6%

Recent form

Al-Rayyan SC

2026-10-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Taawon · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-09T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Qatar SC · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-28T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Al-Sailiya · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Qatar SC · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Al Faisaly · 4-3 (W)

Muaither SC

2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Qatar U23 · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-01T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Shamal · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-22T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Khor · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-07T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Al-Gharafa B · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-31T14:15:00.000Z · H vs Al Rayyan SC B · 5-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

QSL Cup table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Shamal	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	Al-Duhail SC	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	UMM Salal	2	2	0	0	3	6
4	Qatar SC	2	1	1	0	1	4
5	Al Waab	2	1	1	0	1	4
6	Al Wakrah	2	1	1	0	1	4
7	Lusail City	2	1	1	0	1	4
8	Al-Gharafa	1	1	0	0	2	3
9	Muaither SC	2	1	0	1	1	3
10	Al Shahaniya	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Al-Rayyan SC	2	0	2	0	0	2
12	Al Ahli Doha	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Al Kharaitiyat	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Al-Markhiya	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Al-Sailiya	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Al-Arabi SC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Al Mesaimeer	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Al-Khor	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Al Bidda SC	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Al-Rayyan SC win, at 45.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.