· Analysis updated 16:38 UTC
Al Seeb vs Ibri Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for Al Seeb and 0.69 for Ibri, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives Al Seeb the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Seeb win
69.5% probability
Expected goals
2.07 – 0.69
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Seeb home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Seeb to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 19% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.07 goals for Al Seeb and 0.69 for Ibri, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 44%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–013.5%
- 1–013.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 3–09.3%
- 1–19.0%
Recent form
Al Seeb
- 2026-09-24T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Sohar · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Ibri · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Shorta · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-10T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al-Nahda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-0 (W)
Ibri
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FA Cup table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Seeb win, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.