· Analysis updated 19:50 UTC
Al-Shabab vs Al Seeb Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Al-Shabab and 1.72 for Al Seeb, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Al Seeb the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Seeb win
46.9% probability
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al-Shabab home form
2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Al Seeb away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.2%
- 0–27.0%
Recent form
Al-Shabab
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Oman Club · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:10:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nahda · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-31T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Sur · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-24T15:05:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nahda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-19T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Seeb · 0-0 (D)
Al Seeb
- 2026-09-24T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Sohar · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Ibri · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Shorta · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-10T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al-Nahda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-19T15:15:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 0-0 Al Seeb (FA Cup)
- 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 0-0 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2026-02-02T16:00:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 2-2 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2025-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 0-0 Al Seeb (Super Cup)
- 2025-02-20T15:00:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 1-0 Al Seeb (Sultan Cup)
- 2025-02-02T15:30:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 2-1 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2024-08-20T16:20:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 0-1 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2024-05-24T15:25:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 0-2 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2024-02-17T15:45:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 1-3 Al Seeb (Professional League)
- 2023-02-09T16:15:00.000Z · Al-Shabab 0-0 Al Seeb (Sultan Cup)
Professional League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Seeb win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.