Al Seliah Stadium · Analysis updated 17:33 UTC
Al Shamal II vs Al Sailiya B Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Al Shamal II and 1.80 for Al Sailiya B, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Al Shamal II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Shamal II win
45.4% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Shamal II home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Shamal II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 21% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Al Shamal II and 1.80 for Al Sailiya B, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 73%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.0%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.6%
Recent form
Al Shamal II
- 2026-09-08T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al Bidda SC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-31T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Waab · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-24T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Kharaitiyat · 0-0 (D)
- 2015-04-17T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Sailiya B · 3-1 (W)
- 2015-04-13T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Umm Salal B · 0-0 (D)
Al Sailiya B
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Markhiya | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Al Kharaitiyat | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Al Mesaimeer | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Bidda SC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Al Waab | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | UMM Salal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Muaither SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Al-Khor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Qatar U23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Al Shamal II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 11 | Al-Gharafa B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 12 | Al Rayyan SC B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Shamal II win, at 45.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.