· Analysis updated 18:05 UTC
Al Sulaibikhat vs Al Qadsia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Al Sulaibikhat and 1.60 for Al Qadsia, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Al Qadsia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Al Qadsia win
51.3% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Sulaibikhat home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Al Qadsia away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Qadsia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 24% / 25% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Al Sulaibikhat and 1.60 for Al Qadsia, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.9%
- 1–111.9%
- 0–29.5%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–07.4%
Recent form
Al Sulaibikhat
- 2026-10-23T14:35:00.000Z · A vs Kazma · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-19T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Kuwait · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-11T17:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Jahra · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T17:50:00.000Z · A vs Al Arabi · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-31T15:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Shabab · 1-1 (D)
Al Qadsia
- 2026-09-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Fahaheel · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T15:35:00.000Z · H vs Al Nasar · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-31T17:55:00.000Z · H vs Al Kuwait · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Fahaheel · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-29T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Al Kuwait · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Kuwait | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 |
| 2 | Kazma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Al Nasar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Fahaheel | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Qadsia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Salmiyah | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Shabab | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Jahra | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Sahel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Sulaibikhat | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Tadhamon | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Qadsia win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.