Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium · Referee M. Salm · Analysis updated 15:26 UTC
Al Taee vs Al Jandal Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Al Taee and 1.75 for Al Jandal, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Al Taee the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.2% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Taee home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Jandal away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.3%
Recent form
Al Taee
- 2026-09-18T15:50:00.000Z · H vs Al Bukayriyah · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:20:00.000Z · H vs Al Zulfi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Anwar · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-31T17:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Jandal · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Al-Adalah · 4-3 (W)
Al Jandal
- 2026-09-20T15:55:00.000Z · H vs Al Wehda Club · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Al-Adalah · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-09T16:10:00.000Z · H vs Al Bukayriyah · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-31T17:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Taee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-27T17:50:00.000Z · H vs Al Saqer · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-31T17:40:00.000Z · Al Taee 2-1 Al Jandal (Division 1)
- 2026-05-03T16:25:00.000Z · Al Taee 2-1 Al Jandal (Division 1)
- 2026-01-07T12:40:00.000Z · Al Taee 1-1 Al Jandal (Division 1)
- 2025-03-14T19:00:00.000Z · Al Taee 1-0 Al Jandal (Division 1)
- 2024-11-04T12:30:00.000Z · Al Taee 3-2 Al Jandal (Division 1)
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Zulfi | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Jabalain | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Wehda Club | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Al Najma | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Anwar | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Al-Raed | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Taee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Adalah | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Damac | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Jeddah Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Orubah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Al Saqer | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Okhdood | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Hajer | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Jeel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 18 | Al Bukayriyah | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.