· Analysis updated 02:11 UTC
Al Wahda vs Foutoua Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Al Wahda and 0.92 for Foutoua, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Al Wahda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Wahda win
50.6% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Wahda home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Foutoua away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.3%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.8%
Recent form
Al Wahda
- 2026-07-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Shouleh · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tishreen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Shorta · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ittihad · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-14T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Taliya · 1-0 (W)
Foutoua
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Shorta · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Wahda · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Damascus Al-Ahli · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Damascus Al-Ahli · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Khan Shaykhun SC · 4-3 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-19T13:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 2-0 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2026-02-13T12:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 2-0 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2025-06-20T14:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 1-0 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2024-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 1-0 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2023-12-29T11:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 0-1 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2023-04-27T12:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 1-2 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2022-10-14T13:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 0-0 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2022-04-09T13:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 0-0 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2021-11-23T12:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 3-2 Foutoua (Premier League)
- 2021-04-14T11:00:00.000Z · Al Wahda 0-0 Foutoua (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karama | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Shorta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Hottin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Horriya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Jaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Damascus Al-Ahli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Qamishli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Nawaeir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Wathba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Tishreen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Taliya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Foutoua | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Wahda win, at 50.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.