King Abdullah Stadium · Analysis updated 14:35 UTC
Al Wihdat vs Al Jazeera Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Al Wihdat and 0.83 for Al Jazeera, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Al Wihdat the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Wihdat win
71.0% probability
Expected goals
2.33 – 0.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Al Wihdat home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Jazeera away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Wihdat to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.33 goals for Al Wihdat and 0.83 for Al Jazeera, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.6%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–09.0%
- 1–18.2%
Recent form
Al Wihdat
- 2026-05-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Hussein · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahli · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazeera · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Salt · 3-0 (W)
Al Jazeera
- 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Arabi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Shabab Al Ordon · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Hussein · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-05-07T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Salt · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Shabab Al Ordon · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Faisaly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Jazeera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 3 | Al Wihdat | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Al Buqa'a | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Al Ramtha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Salt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Hussein | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Al Arabi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Doqarah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Shabab Al Ordon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Wihdat win, at 71.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.