· Analysis updated 16:41 UTC
Albania W vs Cyprus W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Albania W and 1.63 for Cyprus W, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Albania W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.4% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Albania W home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Cyprus W away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Albania W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 23% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Albania W and 1.63 for Cyprus W, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.2%
Recent form
Albania W
- 2026-06-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Montenegro W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-06-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Czech Republic W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Wales W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-14T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Wales W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-03-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Czech Republic W · 1-5 (L)
Cyprus W
- 2026-06-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Moldova W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Romania W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Moldova W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-03-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Romania W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-03-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Faroe Islands W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
UEFA Nations League - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 | Austria W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -11 | 6 |
| 4 | Scotland W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 1 |
| 1 | France W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Norway W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 2 |
| 1 | Spain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | England W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 4 | Portugal W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -16 | 4 |
| 1 | Sweden W | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Denmark W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 4 | Wales W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 1 | Poland W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Northern Ireland W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 3 | Bosnia-Herzegovina W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 | Romania W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 1 | Slovenia W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Turkey W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Greece W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 0 |
| 1 | Serbia W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Finland W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Hungary W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Belarus W | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 1 | Czech Republic W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 |
| 2 | Ukraine W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Albania W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 4 | Croatia W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -13 | 3 |
| 1 | Slovakia W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Moldova W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gibraltar W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -30 | 0 |
| 1 | Malta W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Cyprus W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Georgia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 4 | Andorra W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 1 | Luxembourg W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Armenia W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 | Montenegro W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Azerbaijan W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 3 | Lithuania W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Israel W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Estonia W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 3 | Bulgaria W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 1 | Latvia W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.