· Analysis updated 15:39 UTC
Albert Quévy-Mons vs Tubize Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Albert Quévy-Mons and 0.65 for Tubize, a combined total of 1.92. That distribution gives Albert Quévy-Mons the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Albert Quévy-Mons win
51.6% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 0.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Albert Quévy-Mons home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tubize away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.6%
- 0–014.6%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–011.9%
- 0–19.5%
Recent form
Albert Quévy-Mons
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flénu · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Londerzeel · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Onhaye · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Tubize · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic Charleroi · 3-0 (W)
Tubize
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympic Charleroi · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Albert Quévy-Mons · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rochefort · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liège II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Charleroi II · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 2-2 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2026-04-25T18:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 0-0 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2026-03-14T19:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 2-2 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2026-01-31T19:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 0-1 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2025-10-11T18:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 1-1 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2025-04-12T18:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 0-1 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2025-03-08T19:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 1-1 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2025-01-25T19:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 1-1 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2024-10-05T18:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 0-0 Tubize (First Amateur Division)
- 2024-02-24T19:00:00.000Z · Albert Quévy-Mons 1-0 Tubize (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
First Amateur Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWDM | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Rochefort | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Meux | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Tubize | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Standard Liège II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Sporting Charleroi II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Olympic Charleroi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | Onhaye | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 11 | Habay-la-Neuve | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Flénu | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Albert Quévy-Mons win, at 51.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.