· Analysis updated 17:50 UTC
Albinoleffe U20 vs Atalanta U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Albinoleffe U20 and 2.75 for Atalanta U20, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Atalanta U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Atalanta U20 win
49.6% probability
Expected goals
2.25 – 2.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Atalanta U20 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Atalanta U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 32% / 18% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Albinoleffe U20 and 2.75 for Atalanta U20, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 84%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.4%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–25.7%
- 1–35.3%
- 3–24.8%
Recent form
Albinoleffe U20
Atalanta U20
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Genoa U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Torino U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Albinoleffe U20 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Roma U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bologna U20 · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Campionato Primavera - 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internazionale U20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Empoli U20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma U20 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Bologna U20 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Genoa U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Lazio U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Lecce U20 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Milan U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Como U20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Cesena U20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Torino U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Sassuolo U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Cagliari U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Fiorentina U20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Juventus U20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Atalanta U20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Monza U20 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Albinoleffe U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Atalanta U20 win, at 49.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.