Estadio Jose Maria Minella · Referee L. Lobo Medina · Analysis updated 16:34 UTC
Aldosivi vs Huracan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.68 expected goals for Aldosivi and 0.75 for Huracan, a combined total of 1.43. That distribution gives Huracan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 33%, with the draw at 38%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 17% for over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 24%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 33% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.7% probability
Expected goals
0.68 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Aldosivi home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Huracan away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 29% / 38% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.68 goals for Aldosivi and 0.75 for Huracan, a combined 1.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
62%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–024.1%
- 0–118.0%
- 1–016.2%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–26.8%
Recent form
Aldosivi
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sarmiento Junin · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Huracan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Tucuman · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Independ. Rivadavia · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Banfield · 3-1 (W)
Huracan
- 2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Aldosivi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T22:00:00.000Z · A vs River Plate · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-14T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Racing Club · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Belgrano Cordoba · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 26% and over 2.5 goals at 17%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.