Estadio Jose Maria Minella · Referee N. Arasa · Analysis updated 00:37 UTC
Aldosivi vs Racing Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.53 expected goals for Aldosivi and 0.85 for Racing Club, a combined total of 1.38. That distribution gives Racing Club the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 38%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 16% for over 2.5 goals and 23% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 25%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
78.7% probability
Expected goals
0.53 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Aldosivi home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Racing Club to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 21% / 38% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.53 goals for Aldosivi and 0.85 for Racing Club, a combined 1.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% and both teams to score at 23%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 25%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
62%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–025.3%
- 0–121.5%
- 1–013.3%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–29.1%
Recent form
Aldosivi
- 2026-10-25T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Belgrano Cordoba · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sarmiento Junin · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Huracan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Tucuman · 1-0 (W)
Racing Club
- 2026-10-18T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Independiente · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Belgrano Cordoba · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-05T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Boca Juniors · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Sarmiento Junin · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 78.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 23% and over 2.5 goals at 16%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.