· Analysis updated 08:18 UTC
Alemannia Aachen U19 vs Bochum U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Alemannia Aachen U19 and 2.95 for Bochum U19, a combined total of 4.85. That distribution gives Bochum U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bochum U19 win
59.4% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 2.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Alemannia Aachen U19 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bochum U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 24% / 17% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Alemannia Aachen U19 and 2.95 for Bochum U19, a combined 4.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 80%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.5%
- 1–36.4%
- 2–26.1%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–44.7%
Recent form
Alemannia Aachen U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bochum U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-4 (L)
Bochum U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bochum U19 win, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.