· Analysis updated 02:43 UTC
Alemannia Aachen U19 vs Elversberg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Alemannia Aachen U19 and 1.45 for Elversberg U19, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Alemannia Aachen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Alemannia Aachen U19 win
54.3% probability
Expected goals
2.18 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Alemannia Aachen U19 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Elversberg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Alemannia Aachen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 21% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.18 goals for Alemannia Aachen U19 and 1.45 for Elversberg U19, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.4%
- 3–16.7%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–06.3%
Recent form
Alemannia Aachen U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bochum U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-4 (L)
Elversberg U19
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Alemannia Aachen U19 win, at 54.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.