· Analysis updated 16:48 UTC
Alemannia Aachen vs Eintracht Trier Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.85 for Eintracht Trier, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Alemannia Aachen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.1% probability
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Alemannia Aachen home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Trier away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Alemannia Aachen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.98 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.85 for Eintracht Trier, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.0%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.2%
Recent form
Alemannia Aachen
- 2026-10-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Wehen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Viktoria Köln · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs AS Eupen · 1-3 (L)
Eintracht Trier
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Frankfurt · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs TSV Steinbach · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Astoria Walldorf · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Ulm 1846 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Offenbach · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.