· Analysis updated 21:45 UTC
Algeria U20 vs Mauritania U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Algeria U20 and 1.50 for Mauritania U20, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Algeria U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Algeria U20 win
54.5% probability
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mauritania U20 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Algeria U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 20% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Algeria U20 and 1.50 for Mauritania U20, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 70%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.9%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–16.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–26.0%
Recent form
Algeria U20
- 2026-09-30T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Morocco U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Libya U20 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Tunisia U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Tunisia U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Tunisia U20 · 0-1 (L)
Mauritania U20
- 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sierra Leone U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Senegal U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-30T20:30:00.000Z · H vs Morocco U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T18:40:00.000Z · H vs Levante U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Elche U20 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Algeria U20 win, at 54.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.