Algyő SK Sporttelep · Analysis updated 06:07 UTC
Algyő SK vs Gyömrő Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.84 expected goals for Algyő SK and 2.00 for Gyömrő, a combined total of 3.84. That distribution gives Gyömrő the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.7% probability
Expected goals
1.84 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Algyő SK home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gyömrő to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 36% / 21% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.84 goals for Algyő SK and 2.00 for Gyömrő, a combined 3.84 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 73%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.9%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–35.3%
Recent form
Algyő SK
- 2026-08-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs ESMTK · 0-3 (L)
- 2024-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Szarvasi · 1-6 (L)
- 2024-08-03T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Testvériség · 0-1 (L)
- 2023-08-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Pilisi LK · 0-1 (L)
- 2023-08-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Füzesgyarmati · 2-1 (W)
Gyömrő
- 2021-09-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Paks · 1-9 (L)
- 2021-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Szabadszállási · 6-0 (W)
- 2021-08-07T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Algyő SK · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.