Aliağa FAŞ vs 1461 Trabzon FK Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.47 expected goals for Aliağa FAŞ and 0.93 for 1461 Trabzon FK, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Aliağa FAŞ the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Aliağa FAŞ win

71.2% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.47 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Aliağa FAŞ win71%

Draw17%

1461 Trabzon FK win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

2–010.2%
2–19.5%
3–08.4%
1–08.3%
3–17.8%

Why the model likes this

Aliağa FAŞ home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
1461 Trabzon FK away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Aliağa FAŞ to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.47 goals for Aliağa FAŞ and 0.93 for 1461 Trabzon FK, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Aliağa FAŞ

2026-05-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Muş Sport Klübü · 0-0 (D)
2026-04-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Muş Sport Klübü · 1-1 (D)
2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bursaspor · 0-5 (L)
2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor · 1-1 (D)
2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Menemen FK · 5-0 (W)

1461 Trabzon FK

2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Menemen FK · 4-5 (L)
2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kırklarelispor · 2-1 (W)
2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Isparta 32 Spor · 1-3 (L)
2026-04-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Adanaspor · 3-0 (W)
2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-02-28T12:00:00.000Z · Aliağa FAŞ 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK (2. Lig)
2025-10-19T10:00:00.000Z · Aliağa FAŞ 3-0 1461 Trabzon FK (2. Lig)

2. Lig table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Adana Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Elazığspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Hatayspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Ankaraspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Şanlıurfaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kastamonuspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Menemen FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Çorluspor 1947	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Erbaaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Muş Sport Klübü	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Isparta 32 Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Güzide Gebzespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Somaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aliağa FAŞ	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sebat Gençlikspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ankaragücü	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sakaryaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Fethiyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	İnegölspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Ankara Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Karacabey Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Kırklarelispor	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	24 Erzincanspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Kütahyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	1461 Trabzon FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	İskenderunspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	12 Bingölspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Yeni Orduspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Serik Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Adana 01 FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.