· Analysis updated 18:05 UTC
Alingsås W vs Linköping W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Alingsås W and 1.48 for Linköping W, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Linköping W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.6% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Alingsås W home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Linköping W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–17.4%
Recent form
Alingsås W
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Häcken II W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-08T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Elfsborg W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Göteborg W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Trelleborg W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 1-1 (D)
Linköping W
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Jitex W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Norrköping W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Husqvarna W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Elfsborg W · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · Alingsås W 1-2 Linköping W (Elitettan)
- 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · Alingsås W 0-4 Linköping W (Elitettan)
- 2025-08-31T13:00:00.000Z · Alingsås W 1-2 Linköping W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2025-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · Alingsås W 0-1 Linköping W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2023-02-26T14:00:00.000Z · Alingsås W 0-7 Linköping W (Svenska Cupen - Women)
- 2022-02-27T14:00:00.000Z · Alingsås W 1-4 Linköping W (Svenska Cupen - Women)
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 48 |
| 2 | KIF Örebro W | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 47 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 45 |
| 4 | Linköping W | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Trelleborg W | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Husqvarna W | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Jitex W | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Örebro SK W | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Enskede W | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 17 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | -36 | 11 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | -23 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.