Argentina · Primera Nacional · Matchweek 2418:00
All BoysDDLDD

1 – 1

Monday, 10 August 2026

Islas Malvinas Stadium · Analysis updated 10:44 UTC

All Boys vs Central Norte Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for All Boys and 0.63 for Central Norte, a combined total of 1.55. That distribution gives All Boys the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

76.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.93 – 0.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • All Boys home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Central Norte away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates All Boys to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 35% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.93 goals for All Boys and 0.63 for Central Norte, a combined 1.55 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

All Boys win41%
Draw35%
Central Norte win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals46%
Over 2.5 goals20%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams to score28%

Correct score

  • 0–021.2%
  • 1–019.6%
  • 0–113.3%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 2–09.1%

Recent form

All Boys

  • 2026-10-18T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Los Andes · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Godoy Cruz · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Moron · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Colon Santa Fe · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · A vs San Miguel · 1-1 (D)

Central Norte

  • 2026-10-04T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Racing Cordoba · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Madryn · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Defensores De Belgrano · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Ciudad de Bolívar · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-06T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Almirante Brown · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-10T18:00:00.000Z · All Boys 1-1 Central Norte (Primera Nacional)
  • 2026-03-22T20:00:00.000Z · All Boys 0-1 Central Norte (Primera Nacional)

Primera Nacional table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro Carril Oeste351988765
2Godoy Cruz3417981660
3Deportivo Moron34177101558
4Deportivo Madryn35151282057
5Colon Santa Fe35151281657
6Ciudad de Bolívar35131210-151
7Almirante Brown34121210448
8CA Estudiantes3413912148
9Chaco For Ever35111014043
10Los Andes3491411141
11Racing Cordoba34101014-1040
12Atletico Mitre3481511-839
13Defensores De Belgrano3481412-738
14San Telmo3591115-1238
15Central Norte3471611-837
16All Boys3461711-1035
17Acassuso348917-1033
18San Miguel3461414-1432
1Tristan Suarez35161541863
2Temperley34161261360
3Gimnasia Jujuy3416108958
4Atlanta3418412758
5Gimnasia Y Tiro34141010652
6Midland34149111151
7Colegiales3514912451
8Deportivo Maipu3413912748
9San Martin S.J.34121111247
10San Martin Tucuman35111311246
11Atletico DE Rafaela35121013-646
12Quilmes3511915242
13Almagro3511915-1042
14Agropecuario34101014-1140
15Patronato3471611-437
16Chacarita Juniors3410618-936
17Nueva Chicago349916-936
18Club Atlético Güemes346820-3226

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 76.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 28% and over 2.5 goals at 20%.

A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.