Argentina · Primera Nacional · Matchweek 3119:00
All BoysDDLDD

0 – 0

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Islas Malvinas Stadium · Analysis updated 19:31 UTC

All Boys vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.68 expected goals for All Boys and 0.90 for Colon Santa Fe, a combined total of 1.58. That distribution gives Colon Santa Fe the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 21% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

74.1% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.68 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • All Boys home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Colon Santa Fe away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Colon Santa Fe to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 26% / 35% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.68 goals for All Boys and 0.90 for Colon Santa Fe, a combined 1.58 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

All Boys win26%
Draw35%
Colon Santa Fe win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals47%
Over 2.5 goals21%
Over 3.5 goals8%
Both teams to score29%

Correct score

  • 0–020.7%
  • 0–118.6%
  • 1–014.0%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–28.4%

Recent form

All Boys

  • 2026-10-18T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Los Andes · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Godoy Cruz · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Moron · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Colon Santa Fe · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · A vs San Miguel · 1-1 (D)

Colon Santa Fe

  • 2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Mitre · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs CA Estudiantes · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T19:00:00.000Z · A vs All Boys · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Los Andes · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Godoy Cruz · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Primera Nacional table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro Carril Oeste351988765
2Godoy Cruz3417981660
3Deportivo Moron34177101558
4Deportivo Madryn35151282057
5Colon Santa Fe35151281657
6Ciudad de Bolívar35131210-151
7Almirante Brown34121210448
8CA Estudiantes3413912148
9Chaco For Ever35111014043
10Los Andes3491411141
11Racing Cordoba34101014-1040
12Atletico Mitre3481511-839
13Defensores De Belgrano3481412-738
14San Telmo3591115-1238
15Central Norte3471611-837
16All Boys3461711-1035
17Acassuso348917-1033
18San Miguel3461414-1432
1Tristan Suarez35161541863
2Temperley34161261360
3Gimnasia Jujuy3416108958
4Atlanta3418412758
5Gimnasia Y Tiro34141010652
6Midland34149111151
7Colegiales3514912451
8Deportivo Maipu3413912748
9San Martin S.J.34121111247
10San Martin Tucuman35111311246
11Atletico DE Rafaela35121013-646
12Quilmes3511915242
13Almagro3511915-1042
14Agropecuario34101014-1140
15Patronato3471611-437
16Chacarita Juniors3410618-936
17Nueva Chicago349916-936
18Club Atlético Güemes346820-3226

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 74.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 21%.

A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.