Antigua-And-Barbuda · Premier Division · Matchweek 2421:00

8 – 1

Sunday, 26 April 2026

· Analysis updated 23:51 UTC

All Saints United vs John Hughes Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.28 expected goals for All Saints United and 0.80 for John Hughes, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives All Saints United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

All Saints United win

84.2% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.28 – 0.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • All Saints United home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • John Hughes away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates All Saints United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 10% / 6% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.28 goals for All Saints United and 0.80 for John Hughes, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

All Saints United win84%
Draw10%
John Hughes win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

16%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 3–09.9%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 4–08.1%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 2–17.3%

Recent form

All Saints United

  • 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Mount Pleasant Academy · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-10T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenades · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-03T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Potters Tigers · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-26T21:00:00.000Z · H vs John Hughes · 8-1 (W)
  • 2026-03-28T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Old Road · 3-0 (W)

John Hughes

  • 2026-04-26T21:00:00.000Z · A vs All Saints United · 1-8 (L)
  • 2026-04-12T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Green City · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-05T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Potters Tigers · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-03-23T20:15:00.000Z · A vs Attacking Saints · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-03-14T20:15:00.000Z · A vs Old Road · 2-10 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Aston Villa000000
2Green City000000
3All Saints United000000
4Hoppers000000
5Pigotts Bullets000000
6Garden Stars000000
7Grenades000000
8Freemansville000000
9Old Road000000
10Potters Tigers000000

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is All Saints United win, at 84.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.