Antigua-And-Barbuda · Premier Division · Matchweek 2120:15

3 – 0

Saturday, 28 March 2026

· Analysis updated 11:06 UTC

All Saints United vs Old Road Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for All Saints United and 1.80 for Old Road, a combined total of 3.93. That distribution gives All Saints United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

All Saints United win

46.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • All Saints United home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Old Road away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates All Saints United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 21% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.13 goals for All Saints United and 1.80 for Old Road, a combined 3.93 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

All Saints United win46%
Draw21%
Old Road win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 2–18.0%
  • 1–17.6%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–26.8%
  • 3–15.7%

Recent form

All Saints United

  • 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Mount Pleasant Academy · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-10T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenades · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-03T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Potters Tigers · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-26T21:00:00.000Z · H vs John Hughes · 8-1 (W)
  • 2026-03-28T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Old Road · 3-0 (W)

Old Road

  • 2026-04-29T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Grenades · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Jennings United · 14-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-04T19:15:00.000Z · A vs Attacking Saints · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-03-28T20:15:00.000Z · A vs All Saints United · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-03-22T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Aston Villa · 4-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Aston Villa000000
2Green City000000
3All Saints United000000
4Hoppers000000
5Pigotts Bullets000000
6Garden Stars000000
7Grenades000000
8Freemansville000000
9Old Road000000
10Potters Tigers000000

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is All Saints United win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.