Allerheiligen vs Gleisdorf 09 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Allerheiligen and 1.43 for Gleisdorf 09, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Allerheiligen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Allerheiligen win

58.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Allerheiligen home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gleisdorf 09 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Allerheiligen win58%

Draw19%

Gleisdorf 09 win23%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

2–19.0%
1–17.7%
3–17.1%
2–26.4%
2–06.3%

Recent form

Allerheiligen

2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hartberg (Am) · 3-4 (L)
2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalsdorf · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Lafnitz · 1-3 (L)

Gleisdorf 09

2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tillmitsch · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hartberg (Am) · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Allerheiligen · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 2-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · Allerheiligen 1-1 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - South)
2024-04-19T17:00:00.000Z · Allerheiligen 0-2 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2023-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · Allerheiligen 0-0 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2023-03-24T17:30:00.000Z · Allerheiligen 0-2 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2022-08-12T17:00:00.000Z · Allerheiligen 0-0 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2022-03-18T18:00:00.000Z · Allerheiligen 1-1 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2021-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · Allerheiligen 2-2 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2020-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · Allerheiligen 2-3 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)

Regionalliga - South table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velden	13	7	5	1	8	26
2	Treibach	13	7	2	4	8	23
3	Austria Klagenfurt	13	7	2	4	4	23
4	Deutschlandsberger SC	12	6	4	2	6	22
5	Völkermarkt	12	6	2	4	11	20
6	Kalsdorf	12	5	4	3	4	19
7	Weiz	12	4	6	2	4	18
8	SV Lafnitz	12	4	6	2	2	18
9	Wolfsberger AC	12	5	3	4	2	18
10	Tillmitsch	12	3	5	4	-1	14
11	Hartberg (Am)	12	3	4	5	-5	13
12	Allerheiligen	12	3	3	6	-1	12
13	Gleisdorf 09	12	3	2	7	-9	11
14	Wolfsberg	13	2	5	6	-17	11
15	Bleiburg	13	2	4	7	-6	10
16	Donau Klagenfurt	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Allerheiligen win, at 58.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.