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Friday, 24 July 2026

· Analysis updated 12:57 UTC

Allerheiligen vs Wolfsberger AC II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.33 expected goals for Allerheiligen and 4.50 for Wolfsberger AC II, a combined total of 7.83. That distribution gives Wolfsberger AC II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 94% for over 2.5 goals and 91% for both teams to score, with 3–4 the single most likely scoreline at 4%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wolfsberger AC II win

58.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.33 – 4.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Allerheiligen home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Wolfsberger AC II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wolfsberger AC II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 28% / 14% / 58% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.33 goals for Allerheiligen and 4.50 for Wolfsberger AC II, a combined 7.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Allerheiligen win28%
Draw14%
Wolfsberger AC II win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals94%
Over 3.5 goals91%
Both teams to score91%

Correct score

  • 3–44.2%
  • 2–43.8%
  • 3–53.8%
  • 3–33.7%
  • 4–43.5%

Recent form

Allerheiligen

  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hartberg (Am) · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalsdorf · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Lafnitz · 1-3 (L)

Wolfsberger AC II

  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Treibach · 4-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Klagenfurt · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Donau Klagenfurt · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsberg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Velden · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wolfsberger AC II win, at 58.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 91% and over 2.5 goals at 94%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.