Altglienicke vs Hallescher FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Altglienicke and 1.33 for Hallescher FC, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Altglienicke the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Altglienicke win

50.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Altglienicke home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hallescher FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Altglienicke win51%

Draw22%

Hallescher FC win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–110.0%
2–19.5%
1–07.6%
2–07.2%
1–26.6%

Recent form

Altglienicke

2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs BFC Dynamo · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Magdeburg II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs RSV Eintracht · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Zwickau · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC · 0-2 (L)

Hallescher FC

2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Zwickau · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tasmania Berlin · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC II · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · Altglienicke 2-1 Hallescher FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2026-04-10T17:00:00.000Z · Altglienicke 3-2 Hallescher FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2025-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · Altglienicke 1-1 Hallescher FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2025-02-09T12:00:00.000Z · Altglienicke 1-2 Hallescher FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)
2024-08-20T17:00:00.000Z · Altglienicke 0-1 Hallescher FC (Regionalliga - Nordost)

Regionalliga - Nordost table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	14	9	4	1	24	31
2	Chemnitzer FC	14	9	3	2	21	30
3	Hallescher FC	13	8	4	1	11	28
4	Altglienicke	14	8	3	3	9	27
5	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	14	8	2	4	11	26
6	BFC Dynamo	14	7	5	2	9	26
7	Erzgebirge Aue	14	7	3	4	5	24
8	Greifswalder FC	14	6	4	4	5	22
9	Magdeburg II	14	6	1	7	-1	19
10	FSV Zwickau	14	5	4	5	-5	19
11	Lokomotive Leipzig	13	4	5	4	0	17
12	SV Babelsberg 03	14	4	4	6	-8	16
13	BFC Preussen	14	2	5	7	-6	11
14	Tasmania Berlin	14	3	2	9	-18	11
15	BSG Chemie Leipzig	13	2	4	7	-7	10
16	Hertha BSC II	13	2	4	7	-13	10
17	RSV Eintracht	14	2	3	9	-17	9
18	Luckenwalde	14	2	0	12	-20	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Altglienicke win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.