· Analysis updated 19:16 UTC
Altglienicke vs Union Klosterfelde Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Altglienicke and 1.88 for Union Klosterfelde, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Altglienicke the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Altglienicke win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
2.68 – 1.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Altglienicke home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Union Klosterfelde away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Altglienicke to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 18% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.68 goals for Altglienicke and 1.88 for Union Klosterfelde, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.1%
- 2–26.6%
- 3–16.3%
- 3–25.9%
- 1–15.3%
Recent form
Altglienicke
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs BFC Dynamo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Magdeburg II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs RSV Eintracht · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Zwickau · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC · 0-2 (L)
Union Klosterfelde
- 2026-10-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs BAK '07 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Lichtenberg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Reinickendorfer Fuchse · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Optik Rathenow · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Altglienicke win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.