· Referee J. C. Huanca · Analysis updated 14:41 UTC
Always Ready vs ABB Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Always Ready and 1.00 for ABB, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Always Ready the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Always Ready win
65.6% probability
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Always Ready home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Always Ready to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 19% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Always Ready and 1.00 for ABB, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 57%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–18.7%
- 3–07.4%
Recent form
Always Ready
- 2026-10-08T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Nacional Potosí · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Tomayapo · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Oruro · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-25T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Nacional Potosí · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-09-19T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 1-4 (L)
ABB
- 2026-09-25T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Aurora · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Always Ready · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T21:15:00.000Z · H vs The Strongest · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Blooming · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-08T19:00:00.000Z · H vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Copa de la División Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Aurora | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Nacional Potosí | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 |
| 4 | The Strongest | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Real Potosí | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Tomayapo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Always Ready | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Guabirá | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | ABB | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Real Oruro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | Blooming | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Always Ready win, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.