· Analysis updated 21:06 UTC
Amasyaspor 1968 vs Gölcükspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Amasyaspor 1968 and 0.90 for Gölcükspor, a combined total of 2.36. That distribution gives Amasyaspor 1968 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Amasyaspor 1968 win
50.2% probability
Expected goals
1.46 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Amasyaspor 1968 home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Amasyaspor 1968 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 27% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.46 goals for Amasyaspor 1968 and 0.90 for Gölcükspor, a combined 2.36 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.8%
- 1–112.4%
- 2–010.1%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.1%
Recent form
Amasyaspor 1968
- 2026-10-07T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Bursa Yıldırımspor · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kartal Bulvarspor · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-17T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Cankirigucu · 10-0 (W)
Gölcükspor
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Lig - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatsa Belediyespor | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Pazarspor | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Karabük İdman Yurdu | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Kartal Bulvarspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Amasyaspor 1968 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Galata | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Orduspor 1967 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Zonguldak Kömürspor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | İnkılapspor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Düzcespor | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Beykoz Anadolu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Gölcükspor | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Silivrispor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Beykoz İshaklıspor | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Amasyaspor 1968 win, at 50.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.