Brazil · Pernambucano - 1 · Matchweek 118:00

1 – 1

Tuesday, 20 October 2026

Íbis

· Analysis updated 21:43 UTC

América PE vs Íbis Prediction, Odds & Statistics

América PE vs Íbis in the Pernambucano - 1: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • América PE home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates América PE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for América PE and 1.18 for Íbis, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for América PE or Íbis yet, so these numbers are a Pernambucano - 1 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

América PE win44%
Draw26%
Íbis win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

América PE

  • 2025-11-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Acadêmica Vitória · 1-1 (D)
  • 2025-10-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Caruaru City · 2-1 (W)
  • 2025-10-12T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Ipojuca · 4-2 (W)
  • 2025-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Centro Limoeirense · 5-0 (W)
  • 2025-10-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Belo Jardim · 2-0 (W)

Íbis

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Pernambucano - 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Salgueiro000000
    1Ypiranga PE000000
    1Atlético PE000000
    1América PE000000
    2Petrolina000000
    2Porto000000
    2Centro Limoeirense000000
    2Vera Cruz000000
    3Ferroviario do Cabo000000
    3Belo Jardim000000
    3Jaguaré000000
    3Íbis000000
    4Afogados000000
    4Pesqueira000000
    4Aguia FC000000
    4Sete de Setembro000000
    51º de Maio000000
    5Cha Grande000000
    5Serrano PE000000
    5Ipojuca000000
    6Facilnet000000
    6Central SC000000
    6Santa Fe PE000000
    6Guarany de Sobral000000

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.